Fivethirtyeight the stock market and obama

Fivethirtyeight the stock market and obama

By: Dasmootta Date of post: 22.06.2017

Your browser is ancient! Upgrade to a different browser or install Google Chrome Frame to experience this site. A weekly motoring magazine packed with the latest local and global motoring news, reviews and views. Trump's triumph over Hillary Clinton will end eight years of Democratic dominance of the White House and threatens to undo major achievements of President Barack Obama. Here are the events as they unveiled. His triumph over Hillary Clinton will end eight years of Democratic dominance of the White House and threatens to undo major achievements of President Barack Obama.

He's pledged to act quickly to repeal Obama's landmark health care law, revoke the nuclear agreement with Iran and rewrite important trade deals with other countries, particularly Mexico and Canada.

What the Stock Market Really Thinks About the Economy | FiveThirtyEight

He needed to win nearly all of the competitive battleground states, and he did just that, claiming Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and others. Watching the returns at 9: Trump realDonaldTrump 9 November Global stock markets and US stock futures plunged deeply, reflecting investor alarm over what a Trump presidency might mean for the economy and trade.

A New York real estate developer who lives in a sparking Manhattan high-rise, Trump forged a striking connection with white, working class Americans who feel left behind in a changing economy and diversifying country. He cast immigration, both from Latin America and the Middle East, as the root of the problems plaguing many Americans and taped into fears of terrorism emanating at home and abroad.

Trump will take office with Congress expected to be fully under Republican control. GOP Senate candidates fended off Democratic challengers in key states and appeared poised to maintain the majority. Republicans also maintained their grip on the House.

Senate control means Trump will have great leeway in appointing Supreme Court justices, which could mean a major change to the right that would last for decades. Trump upended years of political convention on his way to the White House, leveling harshly personal insults on his rivals, deeming Mexican immigrants rapists and murderers, and vowing to temporarily suspend Muslim immigration to the US.

He never released his tax returns, breaking with decades of campaign tradition, and eschewed the kind of robust data and field efforts that helped Obama win two terms in the White House, relying instead on his large, free-wheeling rallies to energize supporters. His campaign was frequently in chaos, and he cycled through three campaign managers this year.

His final campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, touted the team's accomplishments as the final results rolled in, writing on Twitter that "rally crowds matter" and "we expanded the map. Top campaign aides stopped returning calls and texts, as Clinton and her family hunkered down in a luxury hotel watching the returns. Scott Shuey, our Business Editor talks about the final verdict 11am Donald Trump is projected winner of the US presidential race, with electoral votes Hillary Clinton refuses to concede as Trump edges closer to the White House Trump also battled for a breakthrough in the upper Midwest, a region that reliably backed Democrats in presidential elections for three decades.

His victories left Clinton with a perilously narrow path and no margin for error in battleground states where votes were still being counted. As the race lurched past midnight, neither candidate had cleared the Electoral College votes needed to win the White House. Trump stood at to Clinton's Relying on polls and group think, television networks began the evening with a barely-concealed assumption that Clinton would win, only to see the actual results suggest something quite different.

Tens of millions of Americans followed the drama on all manner of screens. As midnight passed, the final results were still not known. But many covering the event on television had switched to saying that it was extremely likely that Trump would win. The results offered a stern rebuke to pollsters - few of whom predicted a Trump victory - newspaper editorial boards and the Hollywood establishment, which lined up nearly unanimously behind Clinton.

The post-election period will include soul-searching for those institutions as well as politicians. Scott Shuey, our Business Editor, talks about markets reaction 9. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight is projecting that Trump will win electoral college votes, and Hillary Clinton That would be a comprehensive victory for Donald Trump, and a stunning reversal: According to the BBC, Trump has won 52 million votes, and Clinton Scott Shuey, Business Editor, and Miguel Angel Gomez, Design Director, discuss the impact of Trump winning the US elections 9.

fivethirtyeight the stock market and obama

Winning those state would give her Winning those would mean she is still five votes short ofwhich means she also needs Nevada to win. A vote of would be a very unusual result, but that means that neither candidate would have a majority. In that situation, the House of Representatives, which is controlled by the Republicans, would decide who becomes president.

The other remaining states are Utah, Arizona, Iowa, Georgia and New Hampshire. All of those states are currently leaning Republican. Is it possible that Trump could win? Current estimates put his chances at 78 per cent. Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has picked up Washington state. Clinton has a fight ahead of her Scott Shuey, Business Editor Donald Trump has now taken two big battle ground states: Florida and North Carolina.

Clinton has taken New Mexico and Colorado, but she really has her work cut out for her now. The new battle ground states are Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. By my count, if she loses two of those, she will not be able to reach The current electoral vote stands at towith Clinton leading, thanks to a win in California, which has the largest amount of electoral votes. Trump takes Ohio Scott Shuey, Business Editor AP and CNN are now giving the battle ground state of Ohio to Donald Trump.

Ohio has consistently been a state that votes with Republican, but it rarely produced such as strong showing as this. Trump won the state with Polls conducted for national media by Edison Research show Republican Donald Trump winning a majority of white voters while Democrat Hillary Clinton is drawing support from about three out of four nonwhite voters. Trump's support is strongest among whites without a college degree. He's winning nearly two-thirds of them. Whites with college degrees are split between Trump and Clinton.

Trump is winning both among white men and white women, though his margin is much higher among men. World waits for US poll results Clinton's strongest support comes from African-Americans. She's winning about nine out of 10 black voters. She's winning about two out of three Hispanics and Asian-Americans. Virginia is going to be a barn-burner Scott Shuey, Business Editor UPDATE: Things are moving really fast now in Virginia.

Clinton is now up by 7, votes but still with 18 percent of precincts reporting. Donald Trump jumped out to an early lead in Virginia, but Clinton is now closing the gap and now trails by 12, votes with about 10 per cent of precincts yet to report.

Harry Enten over at FiveThirtyEight. With voting completed in more than two thirds of the 50 US states, the race was too close to call in Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Virginia, states that could be vital to deciding which contender wins the presidency.

Trump has taken Texas and its 38 electoral votes and Arkansas with its 6 votes to lift him to Most of these states are still early in the vote counting.

Florida is the main prize and Trump holds a 1. NBC and ABC said early results indicated the party would keep at least of the seats in the chamber. Trump currently has electoral college votes, with Clinton opn The results of several battleground states are still outstanding. Early update on key battleground states with our Business Editor Scott Shuey 5. In New Hampshire, which was looking as if it might slant towards Trump, Clinton is well ahead For most of the last month, polls showed an win for Clinton.

But, Clinton is managing to take the battleground state of North Carolina, where she leads by Another battleground state, Ohio, looks to be going solidly to Trump, who leads there 52 to 44 per cent of the vote. So, the states we know so far are: Clinton has Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, the District of Columbia and Illinois for a total of 68 electoral votes. Trump has Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Oklahoma for a total of 57 votes.

Marco Rubio acknowledges the cheers from supporters after winning a second term in office. Patrick Murphy, a two-term congressman. His wife and children are behind him. AP Voters post videos from polling stations from Instagram LIVE: Voter turnout seems comparatively lower from previous elections 5. First surprise - Clinton losing in Virginia Scott Shuey, Business Editor Ok, now where starting to see some real deviation from what the pollsters have been saying. Clinton appears to be losing Virginia, a state that she was expected to win.

And she losing by a healthy margin. Currently, results out of the Sunshine state have Clinton up with And Trump has also lost his lead in the Electoral College. None of the states so far are a surprise. Delaware, Massachusetts, Maryland, Illinois all Clinton. States are voting as predicted so far Scott Shuey, Business Editor As predicted, Trump is off to a lead in the Electoral College voting, with The Associated Press has called West Virginia for Trump.

Despite the expectation that Donald Trump would take South Carolina, the Los Angeles Times is saying that Hillary Clinton is slightly ahead in South Carolina and Florida. However, those states are far from being decided.

Florida is still a toss-up. Polls in Ohio and North Carolina, two other critical battleground states, have also closed. Ohio was expected to go to Republicans, while North Carolina was leaning towards Democrats. However, bottom line, there are no surprises so far. And at 5am UAE time the polls will start to close in an additional 19 states. First states go to Trump Scott Shuey, Business Editor Polls in a couple of very critical states are now closing.

Florida is one state that everyone is watching closes, as much for its large electoral vote as for its tendency for electoral drama. But there are also a few other states which will be interesting to watch. Virginia, South Carolina and Georgia will also be closing.

Virginia is largely expected to go to Clinton, thanks in large part to her running mate Senator Tim Kaine, who is the former governor of that state. Those states are traditionally heavily Republican, and it would be a surprise if either went to the Democrats.

All of this means that Republican could end up with an early lead in the Electoral College voting. With CNN calling Indiana and Kentucky for Trump, and AP calling Vermont for Clinton, he is looking at 44 likely votes so far.

Clinton has tentatively US Election Update - First calls, Trump takes an early lead. Business Editor Scott Shuey reports. Republican vice presidential candidate, Indiana Gov.

US Elections Trump wins White House in astonishing victory | rehojuvuyequ.web.fc2.com

Mike Pence, center, and his wife, Karen, cast their ballots, in Indianapolis. The shooting took place in early afternoon in the city of Azusa, 40 kilometers east of Los Angeles, Vanessa Lozano, spokeswoman for the Los Angeles County Fire Department told AFP. She said three people were transported to a hospital with gunshot wounds and one was dead on arrival. Details about the incident, which happened in a residential neighborhood, were sketchy.

A polling station in the area was placed on lockdown sebi stock brokers and sub brokers regulations 1992 pdf was a school, according to local news reports.

Trump's campaign has also set up museum-style glass displays around the venue holding campaign merchandise, including his iconic "Make America Great Again" hats and pins. The stage is set for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trumps' election night party at Hilton Midtown hotel in Manhattan. About a third of voters say the same about Republican nominee Donald Trump.

But neither candidate can claim a mandate as the honest candidate according to the preliminary results of exit polling conducted by Edison Research for The Associated Press and television networks. About six out of 10 voters say they don't view Clinton as honest. About the same proportion say Trump isn't honest.

About three out of 10 voters impozit pe forex they believe neither forbes top earning american idol alumni is honest.

As for what percentage of voters think both nominees are honest, that number is in single digits. AFP The Colorado Secretary of State's voter registration system runescape make money combat p2p down for nearly 30 minutes during midday voting Tuesday. The failure forced in-person voters to cast provisional ballots, and some county clerks were unable to process mail ballots that needed to have the signature verified.

Tauna Lockhart, spokeswoman everything you wanted to know about stock market investing free pdf the state information technology office, says the system came back up about 3: She says the incident is under investigation by state officials, but there is no evidence the network was hit by hackers.

She says the IT office has been monitoring its network for activity and said "there were no blips or anything. About half of those polled for The Associated Press and television networks told Edison Research they are very confident in the results. Another third said they are somewhat confident.

Fewer than one out of five say they're not very confident or at all confident in the vote count. Republican presidential stock brokers queensland Donald Trump has railed against the electoral system.

He's called it rigged and suggested without evidence there is widespread voter fraud that could affect the outcome. Fivethirtyeight the stock market and obama Ford says the most recent Republican president voted "none of the above for president how does magicjack make money Republican down-ballot". That means Bush voted for Republicans in congressional and local races.

It's not a complete surprise. The Bush family includes the two most recent Republican presidents but neither endorsed nor campaigned for the billionaire businessman who captured the party's nomination. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush was a one-time favorite to win the GOP presidential nomination until Trump got into the race and branded him forex factory ic markets a name that stuck: Polls close in parts of Kentucky and Indiana.

The most often cited concern was that a cyber-attack would shut down the Internet in the US. A similar attack last week was heralded by some as a precursor to a much bigger attack planned to disrupt the elections. While there have been a few reports of glitchy voting machines in a few states, nothing has threatens to stop voters as a whole. Even for those who were affected, the solution was simple to switch to paper ballots.

Complaints about voter suppression have been thin on the ground also, although there have been some complaints about long queues for voting booths, sometimes as much as two hours. A few more have complained about excessive travel times. That may be a by-product course work in the binary options 101 the reduced number of voting stations opened this election.

Media agencies have reported that there are fewer polling places in the US, largely as a result of the US Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act last year. But whether voters are being dissuaded from showing up at the polls is hard to gauge at this state. Most states are reporting long lines, but that seems to be how to make money on the diablo auction house results of a large voter turn-out — although that is purely antidotal at this stage.

Most people are sitting on the floor in an area the size of an airplane hangar. A handful of women are wearing pantsuits to honor Clinton. Prepare cash flow statement from balance sheet College senior Madeline Walsh is wearing a black pantsuit.

She says the garment means its wearer is more than just a woman. The disruption occurred Tuesday morning at a grade school gym about two hours before Trump arrived. The women began shouting and took off their tops to reveal anti-Trump slogans painted across their bare chests before police escorted then away.

They were released after being given summonses for electioneering, a violation of rules outlawing political activity at polls. Florida crucial for Trump camp Scott Shuey, Business Editor In just about 1 hour 3 am UAE timepolls in parts of Indiana and Kentucky will close. These will be uml diagram for stock market first polls to close Nation-wide and according to pollsters will likely go to Donald Trump.

Oddly, these states will close two to three hours BEFORE states like New York and Pennsylvania, even though they are located about two hundred miles to the west. An hour after that, the polls will close in Vermont, Virginia, South Carolina, George, Florida and commodity market intraday tips rest of Kentucky and Indiana.

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Vermont, although much smaller than Florida, will also be closely watched, especially by Democrats. A Facebook invite is asking people to gather at Mexico City's iconic Angel of Independence statue Tuesday night for a bbc.co.uk/stock market if the Republican candidate loses.

At least 5, people have already RSVPed that they would come. Trump is unpopular in Mexico for suggesting that many Mexican immigrants are criminals or rapists, and for promising to build a border wall between the countries. Republican candidate Donald Trump has promised to reverse Barack Obama's normalization of relations with the communist-run island. Clinton has pledged to continue the process. Normalization with the US is almost universally popular in Cuba, where people said they were rooting for Clinton and a future of better relations.

As he went to cast his ballot, The Donald's fellow New Yorkers were characteristically warmhearted, greeting him with shouts of "New York hates you! When a similar image emerged of Eric Trump stealing a glance toward his own wife Lara Make money buying magic cards JuddLegum tweeted "Like father, like son.

Democrat Catherine Cortez-Masto went into Election Day with a predicted 60 percent chance of winning, but after early voting, Cortez-Masto leads Republican Joe Heck by a per cent margin.

North Carolina Board of Elections lawyer Josh Lawson says officials in Durham County quickly concluded that there was a problem with their electronic poll books and began comentarios sobre forexyard on paper rolls to confirm voter registrations.

Attempts to vote twice are rare. Lawson says there's no indication "nefarious activity" caused the computer problems. Rather, he said it could have been a failure to clear out caches of fivethirtyeight the stock market and obama cast during the primaries. About two dozen other counties using the same software have not reported problems.

Video | Media Matters for America

Lawson said those in line when the polls close will still be allowed to vote. The White House said Obama gave Election Day interviews to six radio stations that target listeners in Orlando, Detroit and Philadelphia.

The cities are in states where the race is believed to be close between Clinton and Republican Donald Trump. Obama told syndicated host Jana Sutter that continuing the work of the past eight years depends on having a "steady, smart, serious" president follow him into office. He praised Clinton and reiterated his view that Trump is unfit to be president.

US Newspapers still having their say Scott Shuey, Business Editor According to Carl Bialik over at FiveThirtyEight. The Donald received to two endorsements. Even Gary Johnson, the oft ridiculed Libertarian candidate, received four. Newspapers in general seems to be doing everything they can to drive traffic to their sites on Election Day. Earlier Tuesday, both the Times and the Washington Post have dropped their digital paywalls, making all of their digital election coverage available for free.

Hispanics are turning out in record numbers this election. According to reports, the polls in Nevada stayed open until 10 p. Democrats are saying the polling stations followed the rules, but according to CNN, Nevada's Republican Party chairman Michael McDonald said that polling locations were kept open late so that a "certain group" could vote.

Thirty percent of those voters are Hispanic. When early voting in Clark County closed, Democrats were up 72, votes, prompting some analysts to say that Trump no longer had any chance memahami grafik forex winning the state. Lady Gaga's message on election day Watch: Lady Gaga has a message for her fans on ElectionDay. Judge Gloria Sturman at the Clark County Court said that the order would potentially make public the identities of poll workers, young money troublemaker lyrics could put them at risk proven training best forex strategy harassment.

Most voters are casting their ballots across the United States on Tuesday in the general election but Nevada and several other states allow early voting.

Americans from all over the US share pictures of themselves on Instagram after casting their vote. Which candidate do you trust the most?

Trust has been a central issue during the long-winded campaign. Trump seems to have lied his way through three debates, whereas Clinton apparently puts whatever she wants in emails. And she tells bankers one thing and the public another, if the WikiLeaks details of her various private speeches are to be believed.

But who would you ask to feed the cat when on vacation? US Election night coverage with Gulf News Business Editor Scott Shuey Hopefully they'll play out well and hopefully we won't have to worry about it, meaning hopefully we'll win," Trump said in a telephone interview on Fox News.

Twitter user erveza shares a video of a mariachi band playing in Nevada to usher voters.

S November 8, Republican Donald Trump sued the registrar of voters in Clark County, Nevada over a polling place in Las Vegas that had been allowed to remain open late last week to accommodate people who were lined up to vote. The lawsuit, filed in a Nevada state court on Monday, alleges the registrar violated state law and asked that the ballots from that polling place be kept separate from other votes, pending any future legal challenges to the results in the state. Instagram user urbancontour shares her experience of voting at the US elections.

What caused the sharp mid-morning reversal was unclear; the markets swung almost one percentage point in a short period and the closely-watched Vix volatility index, a signal of market nervousness, fell sharply at the same time.

Instagram user joshschubert25 shared this video of him casting his vote. A tiny New Hampshire town cast the first votes in the US presidential election at the stroke of midnight Tuesday, and the results are in: Dixville Notch, a hamlet about 32 kilometers south of the Canadian border, has maintained the tradition of first-in-the-nation voting since But the outcome in this mountainous Republican stronghold near Quebec is seen as more of a curiosity than a national bellwether.

A crowd of media and others dwarfed the exactly seven residents - five men and two women - of Dixville Notch who lined up to vote as Democrat Clinton and Republican rival Donald Trump battled in a tight race. Just seconds after midnight, the ballots had been placed in a wooden box in the middle of the "ballot room" at the hotel of The Balsams ski resort. Dixville Notch's eight votes, including one absentee ballot, were swiftly counted and the tally announced: Clinton won four votes, in a relative landslide to the Republican billionaires's two.

Instagram user marlanfp shares this video after casting her vote at Elections 8. Donald Trump cast his ballot Tuesday near his New York home, in a historic election pitting him against Democrat Hillary Clinton, who is seeking to become America's first woman president. After casting his vote with wife Melania at a school, the Republican presidential nominee quipped to reporters that it was a "tough decision" to make his voting choice.

Stock Market Repeating 1987! Massive Bull Market CRASHED 22.6% in a 1 Day!

It's looking very good. Right now it's looking very good. It will be interesting. Thank you," Trump said. Mexico's peso fell on Tuesday as the country braced for the outcome of the US presidential election amid fears that a Donald Trump victory could harm Latin America's second-biggest economy.

As Americans went to the polls, the peso opened at The Mexican stock market, however, rose 0. The national currency has had a roller-coaster ride during the US presidential campaign, falling when Trump was up in opinion polls and rising when Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton fared better. Seeking to become the nation's first female president, Hillary Clinton cast her ballot and settled down to wait for the country to make its choice. The Democratic nominee and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, voted at an elementary school near their home in suburban New York before greeting supporters waiting for her outside.

The former secretary of state and New York senator dashed through battleground states, encouraged get-out-the-vote efforts and campaigned with a star-studded cast of celebrity supporters. Key things to know tonight Here are the key things you should know as Americans are getting set for a long Election Night of waiting to see who the 45th US president will be.

Find out what it takes to win, which states are the ones to watch, and how long it all might take for the winner to emerge: Read the full story here 6. Clinton is a known quantity politically in comparison with Republican rival Donald Trump, who is widely seen as unpredictable, and markets fear a Trump victory could cast numerous policies in doubt. The statistics website FiveThirtyEight has given Clinton about a 71 percent chance of winning. We spoke to Texas resident Joseph d'Aquin about his thoughts on the US elections.

Texas resident Michael Boudreau decided not to vote for Trump or Hillary. Some 40 million Americans have already cast ballots in states that allow early voting, and opinion polls suggest Clinton had a slight edge, as the tiny hamlet of Dixville Notch in New Hampshire opened Election Day balloting.

A polling average by tracker site RealClearPolitics gave Clinton a 3. And even then, questions remain. He has also threatened to lodge lawsuits against up to a dozen women who have come forward during the race to accuse him of sexual assault or inappropriate behaviour. Clinton has pushed a more optimistic vision, despite a wobble in the final weeks of her campaign when the FBI reopened an investigation into whether she had put US secrets at risk by using a private email server — only to close it again on Sunday.

In a radio interview on the last night of the race, she said the matter was behind her, and she courted voters at her final rallies in Philadelphia with Obama and rocker Bruce Springsteen, and in North Carolina with pop diva Lady Gaga. A choice between division or unity, an economy that works for everyone, or only for those at the top; between strong, steady leadership, or a loose cannon who could put everything at risk. Asian markets were up slightly on Tuesday as the world remained on tenterhooks for the result.

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Trump wins White House in astonishing victory Trump's triumph over Hillary Clinton will end eight years of Democratic dominance of the White House and threatens to undo major achievements of President Barack Obama.

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